Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 31

Apr 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
5 - 0
Mainz 05

Wind (8', 42'), Kruse (24' pen., 35', 45+2')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Kohr (81'), Hack (82')
Tauer (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Carl Zeiss vs. Wolfsburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	-4	42
12	Wolfsburg	34	-11	42
13	VfL Bochum	34	-14	42

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Mainz 05 2-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Erzgebirge Aue vs. Mainz 05
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	FC Koln	34	3	52
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46
9	Hoffenheim	34	-2	46

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Mainz 05

Wolfsburg and Mainz have been far from their best in recent weeks but both clubs will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways on Friday. Having said that, there is little to separate these two teams at present and they may be forced to share the spoils on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
44.3%	24.33%	31.36%

Both teams to score 58.66%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.14%

43.86%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.75%

66.24%

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.05%

19.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.9%

52.1%

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.28%

26.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.02%

61.98%

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 44.3%

Mainz 05 31.36%

Draw 24.32%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.14% 1-0 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 4.91% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.99% Total : 44.3%	1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 7.48% 0-1 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.64% 1-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.36%