Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 18, 2023 at 6pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Flora0 - 3Rakow
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Flora 1-2 Rakow Czestochowa (Rakow win 3-1 on aggregate)
Though Rakow were dominant during the first leg, they failed to fully capitalise on their supremacy and still have work to do in Tuesday's return. Nonetheless, they can control events in Tallinn too, and another win would seal progress to the second qualifying stage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.
Result | ||
Flora | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
38.22% | 26% | 35.77% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.79% | 50.21% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.83% | 72.17% ( -0) |
Flora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% | 25.69% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.4% | 60.6% ( -0) |
Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.92% ( -0) | 27.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.54% | 62.46% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Flora 38.22%
Rakow Czestochowa 35.77%
Draw 26%
Flora | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 8.39% 2-0 @ 6.43% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.22% | 1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 6.96% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.07% 0-2 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.77% |
How you voted: Flora vs Rakow
Flora
36.2%Draw
14.9%Rakow Czestochowa
48.9%47
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2023 7pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Rakow
1-0
Flora
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-17 19:15:19
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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