Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 6, 2023 at 8pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
3 - 1
West Brom

Bacuna (23' pen.), Sanderson (38'), Gardner (87')
Bielik (25'), Longelo (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Swift (5')
Kipre (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 4-1 Huddersfield
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Although Birmingham have been far more inconsistent than West Brom of late, the manner of their victory on Tuesday even things up. With that in mind, we can only predict a competitive draw between two sides who back themselves to challenge for the playoffs in the long term. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
31.93% ( 1.68)	27.66% ( 0.55)	40.41% ( -2.22)

Both teams to score 48.21% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.54% (

-1.55)

57.46% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.74% (

-1.25)

78.26% (

1.26)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.83% (

0.4)

33.17% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.22% (

0.43)

69.78% (

-0.43)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.14% (

-1.92)

27.86% (

1.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.54% (

-2.52)

63.47% (

2.53)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 31.92%

West Bromwich Albion 40.41%

Draw 27.65%

Birmingham City	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.92%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.54) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.18) Other @ 1.85% Total : 40.41%