Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Nov 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
4 - 2
Birmingham

Szmodics (47', 52'), Hill (59'), Leonard (90+2')
Tronstad (31'), Travis (33'), Wharton (80'), Leonard (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dembele (63', 78')
Aiwu (28'), Bielik (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Blackburn
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Birmingham City

Blackburn had to dig deep at points to hold onto their lead against Stoke, and their counter-attacking abilities could pay dividends once again against a Birmingham side who have been more expansive since the arrival of Rooney. Blues will have one eye on the home clash with relegation-threatened Rotherham United on Saturday as another must-win, and in the meantime we expect the visitors to show their defensive frailties on the road at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Birmingham City
52.82% ( 1)	23.52% ( 0.09)	23.67% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 55.12% (

-1.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.33% (

-1.42)

45.68% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.01% (

-1.37)

68% (

1.37)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.74% (

-0.16)

17.26% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.42% (

-0.28)

47.59% (

0.29)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.62% (

-1.69)

33.39% (

1.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.99% (

-1.9)

70.01% (

1.9)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 52.82%

Birmingham City 23.67%

Draw 23.51%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Birmingham City
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.83% Total : 52.82%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.51%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.67%