Championship

Championship | Gameweek 35

Mar 2, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
0 - 1
Cardiff

King (48'), Gardner-Hickman (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ng (66')
Etete (15'), Wilson-Esbrand (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-1 Bristol City
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stoke
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Cardiff City

Despite some unacceptable results since the turn of the calendar year, Bristol City have shown the ability to rise to the big occasion at Ashton Gate, and we feel that the Robins could repeat the trick on Saturday. Cardiff's win over struggling Stoke last time out was much needed, but we believe it does not signal a long-term change in fortunes for the Bluebirds during the remainder of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Cardiff City
44.13% ( -0.11)	25.95% ( 0.01)	29.92% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 52.54% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.48% (

0.01)

51.52% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.68% (

0.01)

73.32% (

-0.01)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.75% (

-0.05)

23.25% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.84% (

-0.07)

57.16% (

0.07)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.46% (

0.08)

31.54% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.07% (

0.09)

67.93% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 44.12%

Cardiff City 29.92%

Draw 25.95%

Bristol City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.12%	1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.92%