Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 2, 2024 at 8pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
0 - 1
Leeds

Dickie (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gnonto (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Coventry 2-2 Bristol City
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Leeds United

Despite their recent poor form, Bristol City have proven this season that they can match the bigger teams at Ashton Gate. Nevertheless, we feel that the visitors may prove too difficult to stop, the end result potentially being a late win for Farke's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Leeds United
29.63% ( 0.02)	23.94% ( -0)	46.43% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 59.07% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

0.03)

42.9% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

0.03)

65.3% (

-0.02)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.63% (

0.03)

27.37% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.17% (

0.04)

62.83% (

-0.03)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

0.01)

18.67% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50% (

0.01)

50% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 29.63%

Leeds United 46.43%

Draw 23.94%

Bristol City	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.63%	1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 9.32% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 3.42% Total : 46.43%