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Championship | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
The Hawthorns
Leeds logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Leeds

Diangana (37')
Kipre (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gruev (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Leeds
Tuesday, December 26 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-2 Leeds United

West Brom were able to control a Norwich side who looked to camp in with 10 men on Boxing Day, but Leeds will pose a different challenge in this one. The Whites will be desperate to respond following an off day at Preston, and we feel that Farke's men will share the spoils at The Hawthorns after an exciting contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLeeds United
41.37% (-0.131 -0.13) 25.38% (0.032999999999998 0.03) 33.25% (0.101 0.1)
Both teams to score 55.79% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06% (-0.117 -0.12)47.94% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89% (-0.107 -0.11)70.11% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)23.03% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-0.169 -0.17)56.84% (0.17 0.17)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)27.52% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)63.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 41.37%
    Leeds United 33.25%
    Draw 25.38%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.013 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.37%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.25%

How you voted: West Brom vs Leeds

West Bromwich Albion
27.1%
Draw
16.9%
Leeds United
55.9%
59
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Leeds
1-1
West Brom
Ayling (72')
Gelhardt (15'), Shackleton (55'), James (61'), Struijk (78')
Thomas-Asante (52')
Furlong (9'), Molumby (29'), Phillips (56'), Pieters (71'), Yokuslu (85')
May 23, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
3-1
West Brom
Rodrigo (17'), Phillips (42'), Bamford (79' pen.)
Cooper (1'), Phillips (90+4')
Dec 29, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 16
West Brom
0-5
Leeds
Sawyers (9' og.), Alioski (31'), Harrison (36'), Rodrigo (40'), Raphinha (72')
Alioski (41')
Jan 1, 2020 5.15pm
Gameweek 26
West Brom
1-1
Leeds
Ajayi (2')
Krovinovic (40'), Bartley (72')
Ajayi (52' og.)
Cooper (67'), Ayling (70'), Costa (87')
Oct 1, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
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Thursday, June 20
 
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8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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