Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 0
West Brom

Rogers (40')
Howson (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kipre (15'), Furlong (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Port Vale 0-3 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, December 19 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

In theory, Middlesbrough should be full of confidence following their EFL Cup success on Tuesday, but a fresh wave of injury concerns threaten to hinder the hosts this weekend. West Brom have not been at their best since the 2-0 win over Ipswich Town last month, although the Baggies should be good enough for a point at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Middlesbrough in this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
39.13% ( 0.05)	26.03% ( 0.03)	34.84% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 53.98% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.58% (

-0.15)

50.42% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

-0.13)

72.35% (

0.13)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71% (

-0.04)

25.29% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.94% (

-0.05)

60.06% (

0.05)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.26% (

-0.12)

27.74% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.69% (

-0.16)

63.31% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 39.13%

West Bromwich Albion 34.84%

Draw 26.02%

Middlesbrough	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
1-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 39.13%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 9% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.84%