Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
3 - 2
Middlesbrough

James (5'), Summerville (7'), Piroe (38' pen.)
Rutter (41'), James (45+6')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Latte Lath (3', 45')
Howson (37'), Clarke (37'), Dijksteel (45+5'), Jones (54'), Crooks (67'), Rogers (83')
Dijksteel (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Swansea
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Middlesbrough 4-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 2-2 Middlesbrough

Many will argue that these are two of the best teams in the Championship and we are not going to argue. It leads us to predict a thrilling encounter, one which may go back and forth before they settle on a share of the spoils, a result that would suit neither team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Middlesbrough
42.78% ( -0.01)	23.47% ( 0)	33.75% ( -0)

Both teams to score 62.79% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.13% (

-0.02)

38.87% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.81% (

-0.03)

61.18% (

0.02)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.44% (

-0.01)

18.55% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.18% (

-0.02)

49.81% (

0.02)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

-0.01)

22.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.33% (

-0.02)

56.66% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 42.78%

Middlesbrough 33.75%

Draw 23.46%

Leeds United	Draw	Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 3.58% Total : 42.78%	1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.46%	1-2 @ 7.78% 0-1 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.75%