Championship

Championship | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
2 - 1
Leeds

Browne (57'), Millar (89')
Potts (22'), McCann (30'), Osmajic (54'), Holmes (80'), Browne (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Struijk (83' pen.)
Rodon (54')
Meslier (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Preston
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 4-0 Ipswich
Saturday, December 23 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Preston North End 1-4 Leeds United

While Preston may feel that they can play with a certain level of freedom on Boxing Day, that may not necessarily help them. Leeds appear to be building momentum, leading us to predict a comprehensive win for the Yorkshire giants. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Leeds United
27.2% ( -0.53)	24.78% ( -0.07)	48.02% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 54.47% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84% (

-0.03)

48.16% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

-0.03)

70.32% (

0.02)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.18% (

-0.41)

31.82% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.74% (

-0.48)

68.26% (

0.48)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

0.24)

20.1% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

0.39)

52.35% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 27.2%

Leeds United 48.02%

Draw 24.78%

Preston North End	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.2%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.78%	0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 48.02%