Championship

Championship | Gameweek 20

Dec 9, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Ewood Park

Blackburn
0 - 2
Leeds

Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-1 Blackburn
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Leeds United

This has the makings of an intriguing contest with Blackburn seemingly capable of beating and losing to every team in this division. Nevertheless, we feel that Leed's superior quality should just win out, potentially with a goal in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Leeds United
38.76% ( 0.02)	23.83% ( -0)	37.42% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 62.14% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60% (

0.02)

40% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64% (

0.02)

62.36% (

-0.03)

Blackburn Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16% (

0.02)

20.84% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.47% (

0.03)

53.53% (

-0.04)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.5% (

-0)

21.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.46% (

54.54% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers 38.76%

Leeds United 37.42%

Draw 23.82%

Blackburn Rovers	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 38.76%	1-1 @ 10.8% 2-2 @ 6.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.82%	1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.25% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.42%