Championship

Championship | Gameweek 29

Jan 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
1 - 0
Norwich

Bamford (16')
Firpo (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gibson (44'), Giannoulis (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Preston
Sunday, January 21 at 12pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Norwich 2-0 West Brom
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Norwich City

With Norwich having improved of late, this has the potential to be an even contest, particularly given how Leeds failed to convince against Preston. Nevertheless, they have momentum from that contest, leading us to predict another maximum return for Leeds in a close fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Norwich City
63.48% ( -0.03)	19.78% ( 0)	16.73% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 56.35% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.42% (

0.03)

38.58% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.12% (

0.03)

60.88% (

-0.04)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.45%

11.55% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.51% (

36.49% (

-0.01)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.71% (

0.05)

36.29% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.93% (

0.05)

73.07% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 63.48%

Norwich City 16.73%

Draw 19.78%

Leeds United	Draw	Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.12% 3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0) Other @ 4.15% Total : 63.48%	1-1 @ 9.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.78%	1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 16.73%