FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round Replays

Jan 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
1 - 3
Norwich

McCormick (20')
Finley (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sara (53'), Idah (59' pen.), McLean (87')
Rowe (61'), Barnes (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's FA Cup clash between Bristol Rovers and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Norwich City

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Hull City 1-2 Norwich
Friday, January 12 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Norwich City

Both teams will be motivated by the prospect of facing Liverpool in the fourth round and will fancy their chances of success on Wednesday, particularly Bristol Rovers on home soil if Norwich decide to make several changes to their lineup. However, Wagner should still select a strong-enough team capable of getting the job done this time around to avoid a cup upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 44.22%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Norwich City
44.22% ( -0.93)	23.89% ( 0.37)	31.88% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 60.48% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.42% (

-1.54)

41.57% (

1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.02% (

-1.57)

63.97% (

1.57)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.94% (

-1.01)

19.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.36% (

-1.69)

50.64% (

1.68)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.72% (

-0.41)

25.27% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.96% (

-0.57)

60.03% (

0.56)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 44.22%

Norwich City 31.89%

Draw 23.89%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Norwich City
2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.33% Total : 44.22%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.33) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.89%	1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.89%