Championship

Championship | Gameweek 30

Feb 4, 2024 at 12pm UK

Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough
1 - 1
Sunderland

Forss (61')
Engel (34'), Greenwood (75'), Ayling (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rusyn (83')
Hume (14'), Ba (34'), Ekwah (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Chelsea 6-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sunderland

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland

With these two teams among the most inconsistent in the Championship, this is a difficult match to predict. Sunderland will fancy their chances of building on the win over Stoke, yet we think that Boro will have enough quality in their ranks to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Middlesbrough	Draw	Sunderland
32.94% ( 0.14)	24.77% ( -0.11)	42.28% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 57.8% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.72% (

0.55)

45.28% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.38% (

0.52)

67.62% (

-0.52)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.58% (

0.35)

26.42% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41% (

0.46)

61.59% (

-0.46)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.55% (

0.22)

21.45% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.54% (

0.34)

54.46% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Middlesbrough 32.95%

Sunderland 42.28%

Draw 24.77%

Middlesbrough	Draw	Sunderland
2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 32.95%	1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.77%	1-2 @ 8.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 42.28%