Championship

Championship | Gameweek 28

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 1
Cardiff

Hardie (31', 52'), Whittaker (81')
Phillips (35'), Miller (41'), Mumba (50'), Scarr (61')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ng (10')
Meite (36'), Ng (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cardiff City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Cardiff 0-3 Leeds
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Cardiff City

With Plymouth having lost some key men of late, this feels like somewhat of a walk into the unknown until they settle under Foster. That may hand Cardiff an opportunity to get a much-needed win on the board, even if it comes during the latter stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 51.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Cardiff City
51.4% ( 0.98)	22.28% ( -0.15)	26.32% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 62.31% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.53% (

0.01)

37.47% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.31% (

0.01)

59.69% (

-0)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.21% (

0.33)

14.79% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.94% (

0.63)

43.06% (

-0.63)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

-0.58)

26.87% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.82% (

-0.77)

62.18% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 51.4%

Cardiff City 26.32%

Draw 22.28%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Cardiff City
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.19% Total : 51.4%	1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.28%	1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.32%