Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
3 - 3
Birmingham

Edwards (43'), Waine (68'), Whittaker (86')
Edwards (26'), Randell (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Stansfield (15'), James (39'), Bacuna (62')
Stansfield (16'), Longelo (60'), Bacuna (63'), James (70'), Miyoshi (87')
Bielik (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 3-2 Rotherham
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 2-3 Leicester
Monday, December 18 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Birmingham City

Saturday's match will be a real test of Plymouth's character following the departure of fans' favourite Schumacher in the build-up, but the Pilgrims should be confident of earning a win regardless. Birmingham's high pressing could unsettle for the hosts in the early stages, and we reckon that Rooney's men will battle to an away point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Birmingham City
49.2% ( -0.19)	22.47% ( 0.04)	28.33% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 63.4% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.2% (

-0.07)

36.79% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.03% (

-0.08)

58.96% (

0.07)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.7% (

-0.09)

15.3% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.98% (

-0.17)

44.02% (

0.17)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.85% (

0.06)

25.14% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.14% (

0.09)

59.85% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 49.2%

Birmingham City 28.33%

Draw 22.47%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Birmingham City
2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.03% Total : 49.2%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.47%	1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.33%