Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Nov 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 0
Bristol City

Walker-Peters (47')
Armstrong (6'), Walker-Peters (15'), Manning (45+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vyner (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Southampton
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol City 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 2-1 Bristol City

This has all the makings of an intriguing fixture, Bristol City clearly growing in belief under their recently-appointed head coach. However, we cannot back against Southampton at this point, the Saints having been ticking along nicely with Saturday's draw at Huddersfield likely to be a minor blip. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southampton in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Southampton.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Bristol City
48.62% ( -1.17)	25.83% ( 0.53)	25.55% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 49.86% (

-0.97)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46% (

-1.56)

53.54% (

1.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.95% (

-1.33)

75.05% (

1.34)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

-1.15)

22.04% (

1.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.63% (

-1.77)

55.37% (

1.77)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.96% (

-0.29)

36.04% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.18% (

-0.3)

72.82% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Southampton 48.62%

Bristol City 25.55%

Draw 25.82%

Southampton	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.22% Total : 48.62%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.91% Total : 25.55%