Championship

Championship | Gameweek 15

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
0 - 1
Southampton

Wallace (55'), Longman (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fraser (90+3')
Downes (75'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Watford 2-2 Millwall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Millwall 1-3 Southampton

While Millwall are capable of upsetting the odds against any second-tier opponent at home, Southampton are clear favourites for this contest. As well as dominating the ball, we expect the visitors to win with relative ease to keep the pressure on the teams in the playoff spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Southampton
37.84% ( -0.01)	25.58% ( 0.01)	36.58% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.69% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.69% (

-0.03)

48.31% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.54% (

-0.03)

70.46% (

0.03)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.98% (

-0.02)

25.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.31% (

-0.03)

59.69% (

0.03)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.28% (

-0.01)

25.72% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.35% (

-0.02)

60.65% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Millwall 37.84%

Southampton 36.58%

Draw 25.57%

Millwall	Draw	Southampton
1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.18% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.84%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 36.58%