Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
We said: Southampton 3-0 Rotherham United
Rotherham United are yet to score a point in five away trips in the Championship so far this season, and catching Southampton at a bad time with the Saints regaining momentum, we can only see them falling to a heavy defeat on the South Coast with the hosts boasting superior quality all over the pitch.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 53.62% . A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 21.82% .
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.6%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%) , while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.09%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood .
Result Southampton Draw Rotherham United 53.62% ( 0.74) 24.55% ( -0.28) 21.82% ( -0.46)
Both teams to score 49.6% ( 0.24)
48.13% ( 0.62) 51.86% ( -0.62)
26.38% ( 0.53) 73.62% ( -0.53)
80.71% ( 0.53) 19.28% ( -0.53)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.97% ( 0.87) 51.02% ( -0.87)
61.45% ( -0.11) 38.55% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.7% ( -0.1) 75.29% ( 0.1)
Southampton 53.61%
Rotherham United 21.82%
Draw 24.55%
Southampton Draw Rotherham United 1-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.95% Total : 53.61% 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.55% 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.5% Total : 21.82%
How you voted: Southampton vs Rotherham
Southampton
Draw
Rotherham United
18
rhs 2.0
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