Championship

Championship | Gameweek 6

Sep 15, 2023 at 8pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
1 - 4
Leicester

Edozie (25')
Smallbone (32'), Manning (73')
Deen Sulemana (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Vardy (1'), McAteer (18'), Ndidi (45+3'), Mavididi (67')
Maresca (33'), Dewsbury-Hall (39'), Winks (51'), Fatawu (73'), Akgun (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 5-0 Southampton
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Hull City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Southampton 1-1 Leicester City

Given how they fared last time out, we are expecting a much tighter affair, one which may benefit the visitors more so than the hosts. Nevertheless, the Saints can only have benefitted from some time on the training pitch after the recent upheaval, leaving us to predict a hard-fought share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Leicester City
27.7% ( 0.06)	23.24% ( 0.03)	49.05% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 60.1% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.07% (

-0.07)

40.92% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.68% (

-0.07)

63.31% (

0.08)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

0.01)

27.69% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.75% (

0.01)

63.25% (

-0)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.11% (

-0.05)

16.88% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.08% (

-0.1)

46.92% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Southampton 27.7%

Leicester City 49.06%

Draw 23.23%

Southampton	Draw	Leicester City
2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.7%	1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.23%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.15% Total : 49.06%