Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 10, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior
1 - 1
Universitario

Caicedo (44')
Caicedo (45+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Corzo (22')
Perez (45+3'), Riveros (45+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Atletico Junior and Universitario.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Junior

Last Game: Botafogo 1-3 Junior
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Universitario

Last Game: Universitario 2-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 3 at 3am in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 45.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 26.02%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Junior	Draw	Universitario
45.2% ( 0.12)	28.78% ( -0.1)	26.02% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.27% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.53% (

0.28)

63.47% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.19% (

0.2)

82.81% (

-0.2)

Atletico Junior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.85% (

0.2)

28.14% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17% (

0.26)

63.82% (

-0.26)

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.83% (

0.14)

41.17% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.29% (

0.12)

77.7% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Atletico Junior 45.19%

Universitario 26.02%

Draw 28.77%

Atletico Junior	Draw	Universitario
1-0 @ 14.68% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.6% Total : 45.19%	1-1 @ 13.03% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.49% Total : 28.77%	0-1 @ 10.28% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 26.02%