Given that LDU Quito remain unbeaten in the Copa Sudamericana this year, we expect to hosts to cruise to a comfortable victory over Cesar Vallejo, who have one of the worst defensive records in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 80.21%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 6.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.38%) and 1-0 (11.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.44%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Cesar Vallejo
80.21% ( 1.62)	13.71% ( -0.82)	6.08% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 38.83% (

-1.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.12% (

0.53)

40.88% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.73% (

0.54)

63.27% (

-0.53)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.92% (

0.49)

8.08% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.6% (

1.23)

28.4% (

-1.22)

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

42.25% (

-2)

57.75% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

10.54% (

-1.13)

89.46% (

1.14)

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 80.19%

Cesar Vallejo 6.08%

Draw 13.71%

LDU Quito	Draw	Cesar Vallejo
2-0 @ 14.76% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.57) 1-0 @ 11.73% 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.32) 4-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.54) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.36) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.15) 6-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.18) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 80.19%	1-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.37% Total : 13.71%	0-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.75% Total : 6.08%