EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Second Round

Aug 29, 2023 at 8pm UK

Moor Lane

Salford City
1 - 1
Leeds

Smith (34')

FT
(aet)

Struijk (76')
Gnonto (60'), Darlow (104')

Salford City win 9-8 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Salford City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Salford City 1-2 Accrington
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leeds United

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Ipswich 3-4 Leeds
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We say: Salford City 1-3 Leeds United

Having already sent Preston packing in this year's EFL Cup, Salford have nothing to lose on Tuesday and should at least fancy their chances of breaching a much-changed Leeds backline. Farke's team are yet to click into gear on all fronts this season, but with an abundance of attacking talent waiting in the wings, the Whites should bring a swift end to Salford's EFL Cup adventure, as was the case four years ago. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%).

Result
Salford City	Draw	Leeds United
37.25% ( 1.3)	24.83% ( 0.02)	37.93% ( -1.31)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.15% (

44.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.79% (

67.2% (

-0)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

0.7)

23.76% (

-0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08% (

57.91% (

-1)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.59% (

-0.67)

23.41% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.6% (

-0.99)

57.39% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

Salford City 37.25%

Leeds United 37.93%

Draw 24.82%

Salford City	Draw	Leeds United
2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.06% Total : 37.25%	1-1 @ 11.6% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.82%	1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.93%