EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 18, 2022 at 7pm UK

The Dunes Hotel Stadium

Barrow
2 - 0
Carlisle

Kay (69'), Foley (80')
Neal (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Charters (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Barrow and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barrow

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Carlisle 3-0 Doncaster
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Carlisle United
33.32% ( -2.36)	26.64% ( -0.15)	40.03% ( 2.51)

Both teams to score 51.67% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.75% (

0.31)

53.25% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.19% (

0.26)

74.8% (

-0.26)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92% (

-1.34)

30.08% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

-1.64)

66.21% (

1.64)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

1.55)

26.1% (

-1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84% (

2.03)

61.16% (

-2.03)

Score Analysis

Barrow 33.32%

Carlisle United 40.02%

Draw 26.64%

Barrow	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.51) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.32%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.64%	0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.3) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.36) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.02%