Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Hampden Park

Scotland
3 - 3
Norway

McGinn (13' pen.), Skiri Oestigaard (33' og.), Armstrong (59')
McKenna (79')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Donnum (3'), Strand Larsen (20'), Elyounoussi (86')
Ajer (10'), Berg (45'), Berge (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Scotland and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Scotland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Georgia 2-2 Scotland
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	7	18	18
2	Scotland	7	9	16
3	Norway	7	2	10
4	Georgia	7	-4	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Norway

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Norway 1-3 Faroe Islands
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	7	18	18
2	Scotland	7	9	16
3	Norway	7	2	10
4	Georgia	7	-4	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Already making do without creator-in-chief Odegaard and a talented marksman in Sorloth, Norway's attacking bite will shrink further if Haaland misses out at Hampden Park, and Solbakken's men did not blow the Faroe Islands away by any stretch. Jellied legs from a long trip to Georgia will do Scotland no favours either, potentially leading to a relatively low-key affair, but we can envisage Clarke's men keeping their depleted visitors at arm's length and doing all that they can to pip Spain to first place. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Norway had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Norway win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Scotland	Draw	Norway
39.97% ( -2.28)	26.51% ( -0.13)	33.52% ( 2.4)

Both teams to score 52.14% (

1.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.34% (

1.16)

52.66% (

-1.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.69% (

0.98)

74.3% (

-0.99)

Scotland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.13% (

-0.67)

25.86% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.16% (

-0.91)

60.84% (

0.91)

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.33% (

2.21)

29.66% (

-2.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.29% (

2.6)

65.71% (

-2.61)

Score Analysis

Scotland 39.96%

Norway 33.52%

Draw 26.5%

Scotland	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.7) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.62) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.96%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.36) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.43) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.42) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.35) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.52%