FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

Walton Road Stadium

Sutton
2 - 1
Fylde

Smith (62', 67')
Smith (55')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ustabasi (45+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Sutton United and Fylde.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fylde

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 0-4 Fylde
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 52.51%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 25.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Fylde win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sutton United in this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Fylde
52.51%	22.2%	25.28%

Both teams to score 61.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.94%

38.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.67%

60.33%

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.36%

14.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.24%

42.76%

Fylde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05%

27.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.42%

63.57%

Score Analysis

Sutton United 52.51%

Fylde 25.29%

Draw 22.2%

Sutton United	Draw	Fylde
2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-0 @ 4.84% 3-2 @ 3.93% 4-1 @ 2.96% 4-0 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 4.22% Total : 52.51%	1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 6.39% 0-1 @ 5.21% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.63% Total : 25.29%