Friendlies 3

Mar 25, 2024 at 9.30am UK

Race Course International Stadium (Colombo)

CAR
4 - 0
P. New Guinea

Malipangou Christian Theodor (11'), Godame (79')
Guinari (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Waiwai (3'), Kepo (90')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Central African Republic and Papua New Guinea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

Last Game: CAR 6-0 Bhutan
Friday, March 22 at 9.30am in International Friendlies

Papua New Guinea

Last Game: Sri Lanka 0-0 P. New Guinea
Friday, March 22 at 3.15pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 76.52%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Papua New Guinea had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.88%) and 3-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.27%), while for a Papua New Guinea win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central African Republic would win this match.

Result
Central African Republic	Draw	Papua New Guinea
76.52% ( 0.06)	15.28% ( -0.06)	8.2% ( 0)

Both teams to score 44.48% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.13% (

0.33)

39.87% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.77% (

0.35)

62.23% (

-0.34)

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.31% (

0.1)

8.68% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.09% (

0.23)

29.91% (

-0.23)

Papua New Guinea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.71% (

0.24)

51.29% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.47% (

0.16)

85.53% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Central African Republic 76.5%

Papua New Guinea 8.2%

Draw 15.28%

Central African Republic	Draw	Papua New Guinea
2-0 @ 13.29% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 10.83% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 76.5%	1-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 15.28%	0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 8.2%