International Friendly

Nov 12, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Ecuador
0 - 0
Iraq

Attwan (14'), Razzaq Farhan (53'), Bayesh (65'), Younis (81')

Reasco (82')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's International Friendlies clash between Iraq and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iraq

Last Game: Mexico 4-0 Iraq
Wednesday, November 9 at 3am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Iraq vs. Belgium
Tuesday, November 15 at 12am in International Friendlies

Ecuador

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Ecuador 0-0 Japan
Tuesday, September 27 at 12.55pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Qatar vs. Ecuador
Sunday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ecuador	0	0	0
2	Netherlands	0	0	0
3	Senegal	0	0	0
4	Qatar	0	0	0

It is always difficult to know exactly what to expect from international friendlies, especially this close to a major tournament. Ecuador will be wanting to enter the World Cup off the back of a win, but they will be missing a number of important players for this match, and we can therefore see a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Iraq had a probability of 34.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Iraq win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ecuador	Draw	Iraq
38.31% ( -0.05)	26.83% ( -0)	34.86% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.38% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.25% (

0.02)

53.74% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78% (

0.01)

75.22% (

-0.02)

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.71% (

-0.02)

27.28% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28% (

-0.03)

62.72% (

0.02)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

0.04)

29.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

0.05)

65.32% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Ecuador 38.3%

Iraq 34.86%

Draw 26.83%

Ecuador	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.3%	1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.86%