Friendlies 1

Mar 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Cairo International Stadium

Egypt
2 - 4
Croatia

Rabia (6'), Abdelmonem (90+4')
Rabia (27')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vlasic (21'), Petkovic (57'), Kramaric (77'), Majer (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Egypt and Croatia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Egypt

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Egypt 1-0 New Zealand
Friday, March 22 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Croatia

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Tunisia 0-0 Croatia (4-5 pen.)
Saturday, March 23 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 28.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Croatia win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Egypt	Draw	Croatia
43.68% ( 0.12)	27.85% ( -0.09)	28.47% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 46.19% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.7% (

0.29)

59.3% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.3% (

0.22)

79.7% (

-0.22)

Egypt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

0.2)

26.96% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7% (

0.26)

62.3% (

-0.26)

Croatia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.24% (

0.13)

36.76% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.45% (

0.13)

73.55% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Egypt 43.68%

Croatia 28.47%

Draw 27.85%

Egypt	Draw	Croatia
1-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 43.68%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.85%	0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.66% 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 28.47%