Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca |
54.21% ( 0.22) | 25.03% ( -0.03) | 20.76% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.18% ( -0.12) | 54.82% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.88% ( -0.1) | 76.12% ( 0.1) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.79% ( 0.04) | 20.21% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.48% ( 0.06) | 52.52% ( -0.07) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.67% ( -0.28) | 41.33% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.16% ( -0.25) | 77.84% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.2% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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