Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
32.8% ( 0.02) | 28.87% ( -0.01) | 38.33% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 44.97% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.42% ( 0.04) | 61.58% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.57% ( 0.03) | 81.43% ( -0.03) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% ( 0.03) | 34.73% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.54% ( 0.03) | 71.46% ( -0.03) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.9% ( 0.01) | 31.1% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.58% ( 0.02) | 67.42% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 32.8% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.86% | 0-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.37% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 38.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
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