Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
28.21% | 26.01% | 45.77% |
Both teams to score 51.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.4% | 52.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.75% | 74.25% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.63% | 33.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30% | 70% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.07% | 22.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.29% | 56.71% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.4% 2-1 @ 6.79% 2-0 @ 4.61% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.69% Other @ 2.42% Total : 28.21% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 7.65% 2-2 @ 5% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 11.27% 1-2 @ 9.11% 0-2 @ 8.3% 1-3 @ 4.47% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.65% 0-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |