Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla |
39.24% ( 0.63) | 26.75% ( 0.12) | 34.01% ( -0.75) |
Both teams to score 51.49% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.47% ( -0.58) | 53.53% ( 0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.95% ( -0.49) | 75.04% ( 0.49) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% ( 0.08) | 26.66% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% ( 0.11) | 61.91% ( -0.11) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.22% ( -0.76) | 29.77% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.15% ( -0.93) | 65.85% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 39.23% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |