La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Valencia

Isi (5'), Gonzalez (52' og.)
Balliu (21'), Isi (35'), Dimitrievski (62'), Comesana (63'), Trejo (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diakhaby (90+3')
Musah (68'), Correia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

Last Six:

Last Game: Osasuna 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, September 4 at 1pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Almeria	4	-1	4
14	Rayo Vallecano	4	-1	4
15	Espanyol	4	-3	4

Valencia

Last Six:

Last Game: Valencia 5-1 Getafe
Sunday, September 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Real Sociedad	4	-1	7
11	Valencia	4	3	6
12	Mallorca	4	1	5

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia

Five of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are backing another draw here. Valencia will be full of confidence due to their strong win last time out, but we believe that Rayo have enough quality to secure a point in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Valencia
40.59% ( -0.22)	28.2% ( 0.09)	31.2% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 46.41% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.39% (

-0.27)

59.6% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.06% (

-0.21)

79.93% (

0.21)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

-0.26)

28.79% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

-0.32)

64.63% (

0.32)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17% (

-0.05)

34.82% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.44% (

-0.05)

71.56% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 40.59%

Valencia 31.2%

Draw 28.19%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 12.48% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.65% Total : 40.59%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.19%	0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 31.2%