Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Girona |
50.37% ( -0.09) | 25.7% ( -0.09) | 23.93% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 48.69% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.7% ( 0.47) | 54.29% ( -0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.31% ( 0.39) | 75.68% ( -0.39) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.41% ( 0.16) | 21.58% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.32% ( 0.24) | 54.68% ( -0.24) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.1% ( 0.43) | 37.9% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.33% ( 0.41) | 74.67% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.91% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.37% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.62% Total : 23.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |