Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Cadiz |
53.69% ( -0.3) | 25.17% ( 0.29) | 21.14% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.07% ( -1.09) | 54.92% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% ( -0.91) | 76.21% ( 0.91) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% ( -0.55) | 20.46% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.08% ( -0.88) | 52.92% ( 0.88) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.01% ( -0.62) | 40.98% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.46% ( -0.56) | 77.54% ( 0.55) |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.3% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.22% Total : 21.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |