La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 16, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
0 - 2
Sevilla

Duro (85')
Moriba (84')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bade (55'), Suso (75')
Ocampos (41'), Jordan (51'), Montiel (81'), Gudelj (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Valencia 1-1 Sevilla

This is destined to be a cagey clash between two high-profile clubs battling for La Liga safety, so we expect Valencia and Sevilla to play out a close-fought draw at the Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Sevilla
46.68% ( -0.02)	26.11% ( -0.07)	27.21% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 50.37% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46% (

0.31)

53.53% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.95% (

0.26)

75.05% (

-0.27)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.08% (

0.13)

22.91% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32% (

0.19)

56.67% (

-0.19)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.34% (

0.23)

34.66% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.61% (

0.25)

71.38% (

-0.25)

Score Analysis

Valencia 46.68%

Sevilla 27.21%

Draw 26.1%

Valencia	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 11.7% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 46.68%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.1%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 27.21%