League One

League One | Gameweek 35

Feb 24, 2024 at 3pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 1
Derby

Phillips (33', 66')
Earl (79'), Cosgrove (86'), Cole (90+1'), Roberts (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Bradley (18')
Nelson (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Barnsley and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Barnsley
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-0 Stevenage
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Derby County

With both sides boasting plenty of quality throughout their ranks, we anticipate a tight and cagey encounter at Oakwell on Saturday given the high stakes. We cannot quite pick a winner between two in-form teams and instead anticipate a share of the spoils in South Yorkshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Barnsley has a probability of 35.4% and a draw has a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Barnsley win is 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.32%).

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Derby County
35.4% ( 0.02)	25.94% ( -0.02)	38.65% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.34% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50% (

0.09)

50% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.02% (

0.08)

71.98% (

-0.08)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.8% (

0.05)

27.2% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.39% (

0.07)

62.61% (

-0.07)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

0.04)

25.36% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85% (

0.06)

60.15% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 35.4%

Derby County 38.65%

Draw 25.94%

Barnsley	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.4%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 38.65%