League One

League One | Gameweek 15

Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Kane (19' pen.), Styles (23'), Cole (75')
Styles (14')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dunkley (4'), Taylor (5'), Flanagan (80')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Derby
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Barnsley 2-0 Shrewsbury Town

Shrewsbury's away form has been dire for most of the calendar year, with Taylor so far proving powerless to change that, having lost four of his six away trips without scoring a goal. We expect that pattern to continue when they visit Barnsley, who will be determined to start making up some ground on the division's top two teams sooner rather than later as they look to return to the Championship. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
58.65% ( 0.33)	22.08% ( -0.2)	19.26% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.43% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.17% (

0.7)

44.83% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.81% (

0.67)

67.19% (

-0.66)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04% (

0.34)

14.95% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.63% (

0.65)

43.37% (

-0.65)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.83% (

0.27)

37.17% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.04% (

0.26)

73.95% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 58.65%

Shrewsbury Town 19.26%

Draw 22.08%

Barnsley	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 58.65%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.08%	0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 19.26%