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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Barnsley

Cambridge
0 - 4
Barnsley


Morrison (59'), Lankester (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Cadden (7'), Durand de Gevigney (33'), Watters (59'), Russell (83')
Styles (67'), Cadden (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Barnsley

Cambridge have proven tough to beat under Bonner once again this season, and they are likely to target Barnsley in the form of a direct approach on Tuesday. The visitors are still finding their feet under Collins' tutelage, but we expect their slick play in possession to help them come away from the Abbey Stadium with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawBarnsley
27.85% (-0.444 -0.44) 26.13% (0.245 0.25) 46.02% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 50.76% (-1.045 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (-1.216 -1.22)53.24% (1.213 1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (-1.041 -1.04)74.8% (1.037 1.04)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (-0.98599999999999 -0.99)33.99% (0.982 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (-1.075 -1.08)70.67% (1.071 1.07)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.431 -0.43)23.09% (0.427 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (-0.631 -0.63)56.94% (0.628 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 27.85%
    Barnsley 46.01%
    Draw 26.12%
Cambridge UnitedDrawBarnsley
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.177 0.18)
2-1 @ 6.7% (-0.124 -0.12)
2-0 @ 4.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.41% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 27.85%
1-1 @ 12.41% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.85% (0.368 0.37)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.12%
0-1 @ 11.5% (0.4 0.4)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.43% (0.189 0.19)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.12% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.4% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 46.01%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Barnsley

Cambridge United
33.3%
Draw
0.0%
Barnsley
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Barnsley
2-0
Cambridge
Watters (8'), Williams (64')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Cambridge
0-3
Barnsley
Cole (24'), Cundy (76'), Norwood (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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Group B

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Group F

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