League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
2 - 0
Exeter

Ahadme (17' pen.), Kachunga (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Carroll (20'), Cole (45+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Exeter
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cambridge United 2-1 Exeter City

Both teams will view Friday's fixture as a winnable game in their quest to climb further adrift of the bottom four, but the momentum is with a rejuvenated Cambridge outfit and they should have enough firepower at their disposal to outscore Exeter on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Exeter City
44.98% ( -0.03)	25.42% ( 0.05)	29.6% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.08% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.56% (

-0.23)

49.44% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.52% (

-0.21)

71.48% (

0.2)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

-0.11)

21.96% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.75% (

-0.17)

55.25% (

0.16)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.29% (

-0.13)

30.7% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

-0.16)

66.96% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 44.98%

Exeter City 29.6%

Draw 25.41%

Cambridge United	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.98%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 29.6%