Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 65.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 1-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
65.11% ( 0.18) | 19.23% ( -0.07) | 15.66% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 55.85% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.94% ( 0.15) | 38.06% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.68% ( 0.16) | 60.33% ( -0.15) |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.03% ( 0.09) | 10.97% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.78% ( 0.2) | 35.22% ( -0.19) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.73% ( -0.04) | 37.27% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% ( -0.04) | 74.06% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Charlton Athletic | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
2-0 @ 9.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.42% Total : 65.11% | 1-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.23% | 1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 15.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |