League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 0
Stevenage

Cole (38')
Carroll (22'), Hemmings (69'), Thompson (90+3'), Sweeney (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Butler (7'), Thompson (47'), Watts (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Exeter
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Stevenage
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Stevenage

Exeter will be feeling good about themselves at the moment due to their strong form, and they will be hosting a Stevenage side that are currently struggling to put wins on the board. This match could go either way, but we are expecting the points to be shared in a low-scoring draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Stevenage
30.14% ( 0.04)	26.75% ( 0.02)	43.1% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 50.2% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.4% (

-0.05)

54.6% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.06% (

-0.05)

75.94% (

0.05)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.03% (

32.97% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.44% (

69.56% (

-0)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89% (

-0.06)

25.11% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

-0.08)

59.81% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 30.14%

Stevenage 43.1%

Draw 26.75%

Exeter City	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.14%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.1%