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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Carlisle United |
32.51% ( 0) | 28.19% ( -0.03) | 39.3% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 46.82% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.72% ( 0.11) | 59.28% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.32% ( 0.09) | 79.68% ( -0.09) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% ( 0.06) | 33.71% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% ( 0.07) | 70.37% ( -0.07) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( 0.07) | 29.37% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.64% ( 0.09) | 65.36% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.9% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 12.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |