League One

League One | Gameweek 21

Dec 11, 2023 at 8pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 0
Bolton

Shaughnessy (45'), Yengi (88')
Robertson (10'), Sparkes (35'), Rafferty (85')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thomason (14'), Sheehan (74'), Mendes Gomes (90+2'), Jones (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Northampton 0-3 Portsmouth
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Port Vale
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Portsmouth 0-1 Bolton Wanderers

Losing their leading marksman before the visit of a Bolton side who have been near-unbreakable in recent games was not on Portsmouth's bingo card, although their extended recuperation period should at least play its part for the hosts. However, given Pompey's recent shortcomings at Fratton Park, Evatt's side have every right to be confident of keeping their hosts at bay, and the effective Adeboyejo-Charles pairing need just one gilt-edged chance to put another twist in the title tale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
36.3% ( 0.11)	25.09% ( 0.09)	38.61% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 57.4% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.89% (

-0.44)

46.1% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.59% (

-0.41)

68.4% (

0.41)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.14% (

-0.14)

24.85% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.54% (

-0.2)

59.45% (

0.2)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38% (

-0.3)

23.61% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3% (

-0.44)

57.69% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 36.3%

Bolton Wanderers 38.61%

Draw 25.09%

Portsmouth	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.3%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09%	1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.61%