League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
3 - 2
Reading

Bayliss (33'), Dunkley (90+2'), Sraha (90+6')
Marosi (15'), Taylor (16'), Sraha (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Smith (12'), Ballard (15')
Button (69'), Hutchinson (78')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Reading

While Reading have managed to avoid defeat in their last two matches in all competitions, they have not been able to record a single point in an away match this term. They now face an opponent that have been fairly good in defence on their home patch despite not carrying much threat at the other end of the pitch. We are backing a narrow home win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Reading
37.68% ( 0.12)	26.53% ( -0.03)	35.79% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.43% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.56% (

0.12)

52.44% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.88% (

0.1)

74.11% (

-0.1)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97% (

0.13)

27.03% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.61% (

0.16)

62.39% (

-0.16)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86% (

28.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.18% (

0.01)

63.82% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 37.68%

Reading 35.79%

Draw 26.52%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Reading
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.68%	1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.79%