League One

League One | Gameweek 2

Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (58'), Reid (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bayliss (45+5'), Winchester (74'), Kenneh (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Watford (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Shrewsbury
Wednesday, August 9 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Shrewsbury Town

Just like a season ago, the Boro have been creating surprises, and we believe they will be able to frustrate the Shrews on Saturday and find another way to win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 58.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
58.94% ( -0.06)	23.67% ( 0.01)	17.4% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 45.35% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.08% (

0.01)

53.92% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.63% (

0.01)

75.37% (

-0.01)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.95% (

-0.01)

18.05% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.04% (

-0.03)

48.96% (

0.03)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.34% (

0.06)

44.66% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.34% (

0.05)

80.66% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 58.93%

Shrewsbury Town 17.4%

Draw 23.66%

Stevenage	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 13.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.3% Total : 58.93%	1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.66%	0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 17.4%