League Two

League Two | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Sutton

Biler (33'), Bugiel (69'), Currie (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sowunmi (62')
Goodliffe (44'), Goodliffe (44'), Patrick (55'), Clay (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Sutton United

They defended better over the weekend, but Sutton United have yet to show much when in possession, and we do not believe their quality in front of goal will drastically improve by Tuesday. Hanging back could work for a while against Wimbledon, but we expect the home side to break through eventually, and one might be all it takes to defeat a Sutton side where morale is understandably low at the moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Sutton United
74.11% ( -0.38)	15.79% ( 0.39)	10.1% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.07% (

-1.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.27% (

-2.09)

35.73% (

2.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.2% (

-2.34)

57.79% (

2.33)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.77% (

-0.58)

8.23% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.22% (

-1.46)

28.78% (

1.45)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.65% (

-1.49)

44.34% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.59% (

-1.24)

80.4% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 74.11%

Sutton United 10.1%

Draw 15.79%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Sutton United
2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.55) 3-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.2) 5-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.18) 6-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.08) 6-1 @ 1% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.8% Total : 74.11%	1-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.37) Other @ 0.97% Total : 15.79%	1-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 10.1%