Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Feb 14, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 0
Fiorentina

Orsolini (12'), Odgaard (90+5')
Freuler (59'), Posch (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Milenkovic (34'), Biraghi (90+2'), Beltran (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 4-0 Lecce
Sunday, February 11 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Frosinone
Sunday, February 11 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

We said: Bologna 1-1 Fiorentina

Fiorentina may not complete a hat-trick of wins over Bologna this season, as the Rossoblu are resilient on home soil and seem to have re-found their groove. As a result, the Viola will stay two points behind their old rivals in a fascinating race for European places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Fiorentina
39.6%	27.41%	32.99% ( -0)

Both teams to score 49.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.69% (

-0)

56.31% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.66%

77.34% (

-0)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

-0)

27.77% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65%

63.35% (

-0)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.15% (

-0)

31.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.72% (

-0)

68.29% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bologna 39.6%

Fiorentina 32.98%

Draw 27.4%

Bologna	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 8.31% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.9% Total : 39.6%	1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 10.11% 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.79% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.98%