Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Feb 5, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Bologna

Saponara (19')
Julio (29'), Mandragora (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Orsolini (14' pen.), Posch (47')
Orsolini (18'), Schouten (53'), Dominguez (67'), Lucumi (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Torino
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 2-0 Spezia
Friday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Bologna

Despite running into some good form of late, Bologna do not tend to travel well and are still burdened by a long injury list. Boosted by recent results, Fiorentina can therefore claim a win to take them above their visitors in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna
69.61% ( 1.39)	17.7% ( -0.46)	12.69% ( -0.93)

Both teams to score 53.14% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.39% (

-0.1)

37.61% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.16% (

-0.11)

59.84% (

0.11)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.27% (

0.31)

9.73% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.6% (

0.71)

32.4% (

-0.71)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.87% (

-1.46)

41.13% (

1.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.33% (

-1.32)

77.67% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 69.61%

Bologna 12.69%

Draw 17.7%

Fiorentina	Draw	Bologna
2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.16) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.06% Total : 69.61%	1-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.7%	1-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.52% Total : 12.69%